Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Jared Jones

140th out of 436 (Best 33%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Evan Carter

346th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

Evan Carter has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	18.4%	2.6%	4.8%	11.0%	11.5%	33.6%
Carter	-0.4	-0.4	+0.1	+0.5	-1.0	-0.1	+4.4
Jones	-1.1	-2.4	-0.3	-0.3	-1.8	+1.3	+5.1

Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carter has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Evan Carter has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% +0.4% 4%

Walk +3.0% +0.6% 49%

In Play -7.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base -0.8% -0.1% 31%

Hit -3.9% -0.8% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.3% +0.9%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +2.5%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +0.4%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%