Matchup Machine

Evan Carter

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matchup for Penn Murfee

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Penn Murfee

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matchup for Evan Carter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Murfee
3

Model Prediction

Evan Carter has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 1.2% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Murfee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%16.7%2.6%3.7%10.4%14.9%31.9%
Carter+1.2-2.1+0.1-0.6-1.6+3.3+2.6
Murfee+1.7-2.9+0.1-0.5-2.5+4.6+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Carter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Evan Carter hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   4-Seam (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +4.3% +8.1% 4%         Walk +3.0% -1.7% 49%         In Play -7.3% -6.4% 39%         On Base -0.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit -3.9% -3.1% 14%         Single -2.0% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -3.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years