Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Ryan Weathers

87th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Evan Carter

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Strong advantage for Weathers

Evan Carter has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.1% lower than Carter's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	18.1%	1.9%	4.8%	11.4%	10.2%	31.8%
Carter	-2.1	-0.7	-0.6	+0.5	-0.6	-1.4	+2.5
Weathers	-1.6	-3.4	-0.1	-0.8	-2.5	+1.9	+7.0

Evan Carter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Carter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Evan Carter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% -2.1% 4%

Walk +3.0% -0.6% 49%

In Play -7.3% +2.7% 39%

On Base -0.8% +0.9% 31%

Hit -3.9% +1.5% 14%

Single -2.0% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +1.2%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +1.1%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%