Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Jack Dreyer

87th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Jack Dreyer

matchup for Evan Carter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Dreyer

Evan Carter has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Dreyer, which is 1.1% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Dreyer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	17.2%	2.6%	4.0%	10.7%	14.2%	29.9%
Carter	+1.1	-1.6	+0.1	-0.3	-1.3	+2.6	+0.6
Dreyer	-1.1	-4.6	0.0	-1.3	-3.2	+3.4	+5.5

Evan Carter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Jack Dreyer is left handed .

Jack Dreyer throws a Slider 47% of the time. Evan Carter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

47%

4-Seam (L)

41%

Curve (L)

12%

21% of Jack Dreyer's pitches are classified as Fringe Misss, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Fringe Miss 21%

+8%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 3%

-3%

Edge Painter 12%

-5%

Mid Challenge 3%

-8%

Non-Competitive 3%

-10%

Likely Ball 6%

-14%

59% of Jack Dreyer's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 59%

+29%

Medium Slow Velo 41%

+27%

Extreme Ride 29%

+26%

Small Break 35%

+25%

Fringe Miss 21%

+8%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jack Dreyer strikes out 21.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% -2.3% 4%

Walk +3.0% -8.0% 49%

In Play -7.3% +10.3% 39%

On Base -0.8% -13.6% 31%

Hit -3.9% -5.6% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -3.1%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Jack Dreyer induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -3.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% +12.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +13.2% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -3.4%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 22.0% of batted balls allowed by Jack Dreyer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +12.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -7.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% -2.3%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Jack Dreyer are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%