Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Cole Winn

105th out of 436 (Best 25%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Evan Carter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Carter

Evan Carter has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.9% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	21.5%	2.7%	5.0%	13.8%	11.8%	26.6%
Carter	+2.9	+2.7	+0.2	+0.8	+1.8	+0.2	-2.6
Winn	-1.0	-3.3	-0.1	-1.0	-2.2	+2.2	+5.5

Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carter does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Evan Carter has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% -4.3% 4%

Walk +3.0% -3.6% 49%

In Play -7.3% +7.9% 39%

On Base -0.8% +6.4% 31%

Hit -3.9% +10.0% 14%

Single -2.0% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% +6.0% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -1.5%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +5.0% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -1.3%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% -0.7%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%