Matchup Machine

Evan Carter

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matchup for Elvis Peguero

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Elvis Peguero

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matchup for Evan Carter

126th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Carter
4

Model Prediction

Evan Carter has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 5.3% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Peguero.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%21.2%1.9%3.9%15.4%14.5%26.2%
Carter+5.3+2.4-0.6-0.4+3.4+2.9-3.0
Peguero+0.7-3.1+0.1-0.4-2.8+3.8+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Carter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Evan Carter hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
48%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +4.3% -4.6% 4%         Walk +3.0% +2.1% 49%         In Play -7.3% +2.5% 39%         On Base -0.8% +4.9% 31%         Hit -3.9% +2.7% 14%         Single -2.0% +1.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% +2.3% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years