Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

231st out of 436 (Worst 47%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Evan Carter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Carter

Evan Carter has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 5.4% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.8%	23.2%	3.3%	6.0%	14.0%	12.5%	26.3%
Carter	+5.4	+4.4	+0.7	+1.7	+2.0	+0.9	-2.9
Rodriguez	+0.5	-1.4	+0.3	+0.0	-1.7	+1.9	+4.7

Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Evan Carter has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% +6.5% 4%

Walk +3.0% +4.1% 49%

In Play -7.3% -10.5% 39%

On Base -0.8% +8.4% 31%

Hit -3.9% +4.3% 14%

Single -2.0% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.3% +3.7%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +0.9%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +10.4%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%