Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Tyler Mahle

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

Tyler Mahle

matchup for Evan Carter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Mahle

Evan Carter has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 0.6% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Mahle.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.1%	19.0%	3.2%	3.8%	12.1%	12.0%	28.5%
Carter	+0.6	+0.2	+0.7	-0.5	+0.1	+0.4	-0.8
Mahle	+0.7	-2.0	-0.2	-0.5	-1.3	+2.7	+3.3

Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carter does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Evan Carter has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

Curve (R)

9% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

54% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 54%

+33%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% +10.2% 4%

Walk +3.0% -1.2% 49%

In Play -7.3% -9.0% 39%

On Base -0.8% -5.6% 31%

Hit -3.9% -4.3% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -1.4% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -1.4%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +3.0% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +1.2%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% -0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% -3.0%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%