Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for Brad Keller

111st out of 436 (Best 26%)

Brad Keller

matchup for Evan Carter

193rd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Carter

Evan Carter has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 1.5% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	19.2%	2.4%	5.0%	11.7%	12.7%	24.9%
Carter	+1.5	+0.4	-0.1	+0.7	-0.3	+1.1	-4.4
Keller	-0.9	-3.5	-0.6	+0.0	-3.0	+2.6	+5.0

Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carter has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Evan Carter has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

34%

Sinker (R)

16%

13% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 5%

-2%

39% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Small Break 25%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% -5.3% 4%

Walk +3.0% +0.7% 49%

In Play -7.3% +4.6% 39%

On Base -0.8% +4.5% 31%

Hit -3.9% +3.8% 14%

Single -2.0% +2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% +2.3% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Brad Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 42.2% rate, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% +7.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% -4.3% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -1.6%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +1.1%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 9.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%