Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Evan Carter

matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

158th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Nestor Cortes Jr.

matchup for Evan Carter

203rd out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Carter

Evan Carter has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 0.8% higher than Carter's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Cortes Jr..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	19.6%	3.1%	5.2%	11.2%	11.7%	29.0%
Carter	+0.8	+0.8	+0.6	+0.9	-0.8	+0.1	-0.3
Cortes Jr.	-0.3	-2.2	-0.2	-0.2	-1.8	+2.0	+5.1

Evan Carter is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Evan Carter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Cutter (L)

24%

Slider (L)

20%

Changeup (L)

19% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

72% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Evan Carter hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (L) 72%

+17%

High Ride 22%

+12%

Small Break 18%

+10%

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +4.3% -0.1% 4%

Walk +3.0% -0.6% 49%

In Play -7.3% +0.6% 39%

On Base -0.8% -2.1% 31%

Hit -3.9% -1.6% 14%

Single -2.0% -1.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.3% +1.5%

35.7% of Evan Carter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.2% -7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.7% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +1.2% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +5.1%

24.8% of Evan Carter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.7% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.7% +2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -7.3% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% -0.3%

11.3% of Evan Carter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 13.2% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%