Matchup Machine

Evan Carter

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

46th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Evan Carter

233rd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Leans in favor of Carter
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Model Prediction

Evan Carter has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 1.2% lower than Carter's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%24.9%3.1%5.7%16.2%4.3%26.1%
Carter-1.2+6.1+0.5+1.4+4.2-7.4-3.1
Mikolas-3.0-3.1-0.2-0.9-2.0+0.1+5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Evan Carter is much better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Carter doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Evan Carter has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Evan Carter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +4.3% -3.3% 4%         Walk +3.0% -3.9% 49%         In Play -7.3% +7.2% 39%         On Base -0.8% -0.6% 31%         Hit -3.9% +3.3% 14%         Single -2.0% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% +1.8% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years