Matchup Machine

Joey Loperfido

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

10th out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Joey Loperfido

448th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Extreme advantage for Weathers
9

Model Prediction

Joey Loperfido has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.4% lower than Loperfido's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%17.7%2.0%4.7%11.1%6.4%35.7%
Loperfido-2.4-1.3-1.2+0.4-0.5-1.1+1.6
Weathers-5.8-3.8-0.1-0.9-2.8-1.9+11.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Loperfido hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Loperfido doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Joey Loperfido hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

27.7% of Joey Loperfido's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +12.6% -2.1% 6%         Walk -2.9% -0.6% 52%         In Play -9.8% +2.7% 39%         On Base -7.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit -4.9% +1.5% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

History

Joey Loperfido has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-29Strikeout
2024-09-29Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.