Matchup Machine

Joey Loperfido

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

56th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Joey Loperfido

82nd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Leans in favor of Loperfido
1

Model Prediction

Joey Loperfido has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.3% higher than Loperfido's typical expectations, and 5.4% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%21.5%4.5%5.3%11.7%7.3%30.5%
Loperfido+2.3+2.6+1.3+1.1+0.2-0.3-3.6
Flaherty-5.4-1.7+0.9+0.2-2.8-3.7+7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Loperfido hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Loperfido has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Joey Loperfido has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

27.7% of Joey Loperfido's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +12.6% +5.8% 6%         Walk -2.9% -1.5% 52%         In Play -9.8% -4.3% 39%         On Base -7.7% -2.0% 31%         Hit -4.9% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.2%

History

Joey Loperfido has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.250.000.000.250.124
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-12Groundout25%75%
2024-05-12Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.