Matchup Machine

Joey Loperfido

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matchup for Kyle Gibson

34th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Kyle Gibson

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matchup for Joey Loperfido

97th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Leans in favor of Gibson
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Model Prediction

Joey Loperfido has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 3.6% higher than Loperfido's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Gibson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%20.8%3.4%4.4%13.0%9.3%27.7%
Loperfido+3.6+1.8+0.2+0.1+1.5+1.8-6.4
Gibson-4.1-2.7+0.5-0.9-2.4-1.4+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Loperfido hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Loperfido has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Joey Loperfido hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
19%
   4-Seam (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

27.7% of Joey Loperfido's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +12.6% -2.5% 6%         Walk -2.9% -0.1% 52%         In Play -9.8% +2.6% 39%         On Base -7.7% +3.0% 31%         Hit -4.9% +3.1% 14%         Single -2.4% +1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +1.8% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.4%

History

Joey Loperfido has 1 plate appearance against Kyle Gibson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111010001.000
Expected From Contact →0.320.110.210.000.323
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-14Double11%21%68%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.