Matchup Machine

Nolan Schanuel

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matchup for Aaron Nola

370th out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Nolan Schanuel

414th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Schanuel
4

Model Prediction

Nolan Schanuel has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.7% lower than Schanuel's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%25.0%2.4%7.4%15.2%7.2%25.1%
Schanuel-2.7+0.3+0.4+2.1-2.2-3.0+7.5
Nola+2.8+2.6-0.6+1.2+2.1+0.2-5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Nolan Schanuel is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Schanuel has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Nolan Schanuel hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Nolan Schanuel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +6.3% 3%         Walk +3.5% -2.8% 38%         In Play +3.4% -3.5% 39%         On Base +8.4% -4.8% 31%         Hit +4.9% -2.0% 14%         Single +2.7% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.2% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years