Matchup Machine

      Jackson Chourio

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      matchup for Dean Kremer

      319th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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      Dean Kremer

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      matchup for Jackson Chourio

      407th out of 564 (Worst 28%)

      Leans in favor of Chourio
      2

      Model Prediction

      Jackson Chourio has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 1.5% lower than Chourio's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Kremer.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jackson Chourio is better vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Chourio has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jackson Chourio has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      38%
         Cutter (R)
      25%
         Curve (R)
      12%
         Sinker (R)
      11%
         Changeup (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.9% of Jackson Chourio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.9% -0.3% 5%         Walk -2.1% +0.8% 38%         In Play +5.0% -0.5% 39%         On Base +3.1% +1.3% 31%         Hit +5.1% +0.5% 14%         Single +1.9% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +0.9% +0.8%

      History

      Jackson Chourio has 2 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001000.500
      Expected From Contact →0.560.000.000.560.281
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-13Flyout100%
      2024-04-13Single56%44%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.