Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Chourio

matchup for Jon Gray

383rd out of 436 (Worst 12%)

Jon Gray

matchup for Jackson Chourio

64th out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for Chourio

Jackson Chourio has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 3.4% higher than Chourio's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Gray.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.8%	30.0%	3.1%	7.1%	19.9%	4.8%	15.5%
Chourio	+3.4	+5.3	-0.1	+1.5	+4.0	-2.0	-6.4
Gray	+1.8	+3.6	0.0	+1.3	+2.3	-1.8	-1.5

Jackson Chourio is better vs right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Chourio has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Jackson Chourio has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

47%

Slider (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

11% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

41% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 41%

+17%

Large Break 35%

+14%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

Medium Slow Velo 25%

+12%

12.6% of Jackson Chourio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% +3.8% 5%

Walk -2.0% -1.2% 37%

In Play +5.4% -2.6% 39%

On Base +3.6% -0.6% 31%

Hit +5.6% +0.6% 14%

Single +2.1% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +2.6% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.6%

40.4% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Jon Gray induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.0% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -2.9% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% +1.0% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +0.4%

32.3% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.1% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.7% +0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.0% +2.4%

9.7% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%