matchup for Marcus Stroman
matchup for Jackson Chourio
10
Jackson Chourio has a 39.9% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 7.9% higher than Chourio's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Stroman.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 39.9% | 33.9% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 23.1% | 5.9% | 14.9% |
| Chourio | +7.9 | +8.6 | +0.3 | +1.6 | +6.8 | -0.8 | -6.9 |
| Stroman | +2.3 | +5.1 | +0.8 | +1.5 | +2.8 | -2.8 | -3.2 |
Jackson Chourio is better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Chourio doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Jackson Chourio has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
40%
Slider (R)
18%
Cutter (R)
15%
Splitter (R)
11%
Curve (R)
10%
4-Seam (R)
6%
22% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
22%
+3%
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
37% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Drop
37%
+24%
Medium Velo
29%
+18%
12.9% of Jackson Chourio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.9%
-3.1%
5%
Walk
-2.1%
-0.8%
38%
In Play
+5.0%
+3.9%
39%
On Base
+3.1%
+3.0%
31%
Hit
+5.1%
+3.8%
14%
Single
+1.9%
+2.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.3%
+2.4%
3%
Home Run
+0.9%
-1.1%
40.1% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman induces Standard Grounders at a 44.1% rate, which is 9.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.2%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+5.7%
+9.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.8%
+4.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.0%
-2.0%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.3%
-0.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.2%
-1.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.1%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
+0.0%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-2.2%
-6.3%
3%
Pop up
-1.6%
-1.9%
32.2% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. 28.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.8%
-1.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.1%
+0.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
-2.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-3.5%
-0.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
+7.9%
+4.1%
9.6% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 7.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at this angle, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+7.1%
+7.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+4.4%
+3.3%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.6%
+2.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.2%
+0.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.2%
-2.8%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.8%
-4.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.3%
-2.5%
8%
Above 50°
-2.5%
-4.5%
Jackson Chourio has 5 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
| Expected From Contact → | 2.61 | 0.85 | 0.39 | 1.37 | 0.523 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2025-03-30 | Flyout | 85% | 8% | 7% | |
| 2025-03-30 | Single | 3% | 91% | 5% | |
| 2025-03-30 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-04-28 | Groundout | 28% | 23% | 50% | |
| 2024-04-28 | Groundout | 23% | 77% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
