Matchup Machine

Jackson Chourio

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

339th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Jackson Chourio

124th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Strong advantage for Chourio
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Model Prediction

Jackson Chourio has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.5% higher than Chourio's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%25.7%3.7%5.5%16.5%8.2%19.1%
Chourio+2.5+1.1+0.6-0.1+0.6+1.4-2.8
Anderson+0.2+3.5+0.8+0.3+2.4-3.3-2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Chourio is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Chourio doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jackson Chourio has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Jackson Chourio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -1.9% 5%         Walk -2.0% -1.0% 37%         In Play +5.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base +3.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit +5.6% +0.9% 14%         Single +2.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.9% -0.2%

History

Jackson Chourio has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →1.230.070.440.720.410
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-19Single71%28%
2024-06-19Flyout7%43%49%
2024-06-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.