Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Chourio

matchup for Martin Perez

273rd out of 436 (Worst 38%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Jackson Chourio

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Strong advantage for Chourio

Jackson Chourio has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.5% higher than Chourio's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	26.7%	3.0%	5.6%	18.1%	7.3%	14.9%
Chourio	+2.5	+2.0	-0.1	0.0	+2.2	+0.5	-7.0
Perez	-0.6	+1.4	0.0	+0.3	+1.2	-2.0	-3.5

Jackson Chourio is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Chourio doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Jackson Chourio hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

12.6% of Jackson Chourio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -6.1% 5%

Walk -2.0% -0.3% 37%

In Play +5.4% +6.4% 39%

On Base +3.6% +5.9% 31%

Hit +5.6% +6.3% 14%

Single +2.1% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.6% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.6%

40.4% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.0% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.9% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -0.9%

32.3% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.1% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.7% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.0% +0.9%

9.7% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.3% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +4.5% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -2.7% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.3% +0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -3.4% -1.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.8% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -0.2% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° -2.4% -2.1%

Jackson Chourio has 6 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	1	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.77	0.98	0.03	0.76			0.295

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-10	Groundout			15%	85%
2024-07-10	Groundout		1%	20%	78%
2024-07-10	Flyout				100%
2024-05-15	Single			39%	60%
2024-05-15	Home Run	98%	1%
2024-05-15	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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