Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Chourio

matchup for Jose Quintana

251st out of 436 (Worst 43%)

Jose Quintana

matchup for Jackson Chourio

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Chourio

Jackson Chourio has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 0.2% higher than Chourio's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Quintana.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	24.0%	2.3%	5.3%	16.4%	7.2%	19.5%
Chourio	-0.2	-0.7	-0.9	-0.3	+0.5	+0.4	-2.4
Quintana	-0.9	+2.1	+0.2	+0.2	+1.7	-3.0	-1.6

Jackson Chourio is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Chourio has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Jackson Chourio has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

31%

Curve (L)

28%

Sinker (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

17%

23% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

37% of Jose Quintana's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Chourio has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 37%

+22%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

Small Break 17%

+9%

12.6% of Jackson Chourio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.0% -1.1% 37%

In Play +5.4% +0.7% 39%

On Base +3.6% +1.3% 31%

Hit +5.6% +2.5% 14%

Single +2.1% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B +2.6% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.9% -0.8%

40.4% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Jose Quintana induces Standard Grounders at a 34.9% rate, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.0% +0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.9% 0.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% +0.0% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -0.8%

32.3% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.0% higher than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.1% -0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.7% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.0% -2.1%

9.7% of Jackson Chourio's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Jose Quintana are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.3% -2.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +4.5% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -2.7% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -1.3% -0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -3.4% +1.7% 11%

29 to 38° -1.8% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.2% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.4% -1.2%

Jackson Chourio has 9 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 7 with a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	7	4	0	1	3	1	2	0.571
Expected From Contact →			3.64	0.32	0.63	2.69			0.520

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-10-03	Single		6%	85%	8%
2024-10-03	Lineout		1%	42%	57%
2024-10-03	Walk
2024-09-28	Strikeout
2024-09-28	Single		5%	79%	17%
2024-09-28	Double	32%	49%	2%	16%
2024-03-29	Groundout			4%	95%
2024-03-29	Single			57%	42%
2024-03-29	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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