Matchup Machine

Nick Gonzales

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matchup for Declan Cronin

139th out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for Nick Gonzales

349th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Cronin
2

Model Prediction

Nick Gonzales has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.1% higher than Gonzales's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%22.9%1.7%4.5%16.7%7.7%21.6%
Gonzales-0.10.0-0.4-0.9+1.3-0.1-0.8
Cronin-1.8-0.3-0.60.0+0.3-1.5-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Gonzales is worse vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Gonzales has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Nick Gonzales has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Nick Gonzales's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -0.3% 6%         Walk -3.2% -0.3% 37%         In Play +6.5% +0.5% 39%         On Base +0.4% +3.8% 31%         Hit +3.6% +4.0% 14%         Single +1.7% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% +3.1% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -1.7%

History

Nick Gonzales has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.570.000.010.560.567
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-11Lineout56%43%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.