matchup for Ryan Weathers
1
Nick Gonzales has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.1% lower than Gonzales's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.6% | 22.9% | 1.6% | 6.4% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 22.4% |
| Gonzales | -1.1 | 0.0 | -0.5 | +1.0 | -0.5 | -1.1 | +0.1 |
| Weathers | -0.4 | +1.4 | -0.5 | +0.8 | +1.1 | -1.8 | -2.3 |
Nick Gonzales is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Gonzales doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nick Gonzales hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
44%
Slider (L)
25%
Changeup (L)
18%
Sinker (L)
13%
12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Nick Gonzales hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Nick Gonzales has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
53%
+32%
Fast Velo
28%
+19%
Low Ride
37%
+14%
12.6% of Nick Gonzales's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-3.3%
-2.0%
6%
Walk
-3.2%
-0.6%
37%
In Play
+6.5%
+2.6%
39%
On Base
+0.4%
+1.0%
31%
Hit
+3.6%
+1.6%
14%
Single
+1.7%
+0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.0%
+1.2%
3%
Home Run
-0.1%
-0.5%
39.5% of Nick Gonzales's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.0% rate, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.3%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+5.1%
+5.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
-4.2%
-0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.2%
-0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.7%
-1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.7%
+1.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-0.5%
+0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.5%
-5.4%
3%
Pop up
+0.4%
+1.2%
20.6% of Nick Gonzales's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+4.5%
+0.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+6.4%
+1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.7%
-0.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.5%
-1.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.7%
+1.0%
8.7% of Nick Gonzales's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.7%
+4.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+6.8%
+2.5%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.5%
+1.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.4%
-3.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-3.1%
+0.1%
11%
29 to 38°
-2.7%
-3.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+4.2%
+0.1%
8%
Above 50°
+0.5%
-0.8%
Nick Gonzales has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.104 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-10-01 | Groundout | 16% | 84% | ||
| 2023-10-01 | Groundout | 4% | 95% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
