Matchup Machine

Nick Gonzales

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matchup for Cole Winn

189th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Cole Winn

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matchup for Nick Gonzales

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Gonzales
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Model Prediction

Nick Gonzales has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.4% higher than Gonzales's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Winn.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%26.0%2.2%6.4%17.4%7.2%18.9%
Gonzales+2.4+3.1+0.1+1.0+2.0-0.7-3.5
Winn-1.2+1.2-0.6+0.4+1.4-2.4-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Gonzales is worse vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Gonzales has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Nick Gonzales has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Splitter (R)
18%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Nick Gonzales's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -4.3% 6%         Walk -3.2% -3.6% 37%         In Play +6.5% +7.9% 39%         On Base +0.4% +6.4% 31%         Hit +3.6% +10.0% 14%         Single +1.7% +5.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% +6.0% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years