Matchup Machine

Nick Gonzales

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

249th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Nick Gonzales

109th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Gonzales
6

Model Prediction

Nick Gonzales has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 4.3% higher than Gonzales's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%25.7%1.5%6.3%18.0%9.3%20.9%
Gonzales+4.3+2.8-0.6+0.9+2.5+1.5-1.4
Bassitt-0.2+1.5-0.8+1.1+1.1-1.7-2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Gonzales is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Gonzales has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Nick Gonzales has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Nick Gonzales's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -0.4% 6%         Walk -3.2% +0.1% 37%         In Play +6.5% +0.3% 39%         On Base +0.4% +1.5% 31%         Hit +3.6% +1.4% 14%         Single +1.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -0.4%

History

Nick Gonzales has 3 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.380.000.041.340.460
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-02Single88%12%
2024-06-02Flyout4%42%55%
2024-06-02Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.