Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Gonzales

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

248th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Nick Gonzales

235th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Gonzales

Nick Gonzales has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.7% higher than Gonzales's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	23.3%	2.6%	6.5%	14.2%	8.1%	25.7%
Gonzales	+0.7	+0.4	+0.4	+1.1	-1.2	+0.3	+3.4
Thielbar	-0.5	+1.5	-0.7	+1.4	+0.8	-2.0	-2.2

Nick Gonzales is better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gonzales doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nick Gonzales hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Nick Gonzales hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nick Gonzales hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

12.6% of Nick Gonzales's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% +5.2% 6%

Walk -3.2% +1.9% 37%

In Play +6.5% -7.1% 39%

On Base +0.4% -6.1% 31%

Hit +3.6% -8.0% 14%

Single +1.7% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +2.0% -3.9% 3%

Home Run -0.1% +0.2%

39.3% of Nick Gonzales's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.9% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.9% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.2% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% +2.4% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +5.0%

20.4% of Nick Gonzales's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.5% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.6% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.3% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.9% -1.0%

8.7% of Nick Gonzales's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%