Matchup Machine

Kristian Campbell

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matchup for Aaron Nola

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for K. Campbell

368th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Kristian Campbell has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.1% lower than Campbell's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.4%18.3%3.5%4.5%10.3%7.1%38.5%
Campbell-2.1-0.1+1.0+0.7-1.8-2.0+6.6
Nola-4.0-4.0+0.5-1.8-2.80.0+7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Kristian Campbell hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Campbell does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Kristian Campbell hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

24.4% of Kristian Campbell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.4% +6.3% 7%         Walk +4.4% -2.8% 66%         In Play -4.8% -3.5% 39%         On Base +6.5% -4.8% 31%         Hit +2.0% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.5% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years