Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kristian Campbell

matchup for Nathan Eovaldi

out of 436 (Worst %)

Nathan Eovaldi

matchup for K. Campbell

446th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Extreme advantage for Eovaldi

Kristian Campbell has a 21.9% chance of reaching base vs Nathan Eovaldi, which is 2.6% lower than Campbell's typical expectations, and 7.2% lower than batters facing Eovaldi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	21.9%	17.1%	2.2%	3.9%	11.0%	4.8%	40.8%
Campbell	-2.6	-0.5	+0.2	+0.5	-1.2	-2.1	+6.1
Eovaldi	-7.2	-4.5	-1.1	-1.2	-2.3	-2.6	+12.1

Kristian Campbell hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Nathan Eovaldi is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Campbell doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Nathan Eovaldi throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kristian Campbell hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Splitter (R)

23%

Curve (R)

16%

Cutter (R)

14%

Slider (R)

18% of Nathan Eovaldi's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Kristian Campbell hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

44% of Nathan Eovaldi's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Kristian Campbell hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 44%

+23%

Low Ride 36%

+12%

Offspeed (R) 23%

+12%

25.0% of Kristian Campbell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Nathan Eovaldi strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

24%

Strikeout +0.4% +1.7% 8%

Walk +17.0% -2.4% 67%

In Play -17.4% +0.7% 39%

On Base +10.9% -2.5% 31%

Hit -6.1% -0.1% 14%

Single +10.8% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -13.8% +0.0% 3%

Home Run -3.1% -0.1%

100.0% of Kristian Campbell's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 65.6% higher than the league average. Nathan Eovaldi induces Standard Grounders at a 37.7% rate, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +65.6% +3.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -15.0% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% 0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -20.1% -1.9% 3%

Pop up -3.4% +0.1%

50.0% of Kristian Campbell's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 25.7% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Nathan Eovaldi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +33.8% -1.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -21.2% -1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -18.9% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -19.4% -1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +25.7% +3.2%

0.0% of Kristian Campbell's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 11.4% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Nathan Eovaldi are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -17.8% +2.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +37.6% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° +41.4% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° -18.6% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -15.0% +0.0% 11%

29 to 38° -11.4% -1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -7.9% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° -8.1% -1.5%

Kristian Campbell has 2 plate appearances against Nathan Eovaldi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Groundout
2025-03-27	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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