Matchup Machine

Kristian Campbell

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matchup for Joe Kelly

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Joe Kelly

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matchup for K. Campbell

437th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Strong advantage for Kelly
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Model Prediction

Kristian Campbell has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Joe Kelly, which is 0.8% higher than Campbell's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Kelly.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%16.3%2.0%2.6%11.7%12.0%39.1%
Campbell+0.8-2.1-0.6-1.2-0.4+2.9+7.2
Kelly-5.0-4.5-0.1-1.8-2.6-0.5+11.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Kristian Campbell hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Joe Kelly is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Campbell does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Kelly throws a 4-seam fastball 25% of the time. Kristian Campbell hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
25%
   Sinker (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

24.4% of Kristian Campbell's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Joe Kelly strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.4% +5.0% 7%         Walk +4.4% +2.5% 66%         In Play -4.8% -7.6% 39%         On Base +6.5% +1.5% 31%         Hit +2.0% -1.1% 14%         Single -0.5% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years