Matchup Machine

Pete Crow-Armstrong

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matchup for Tim Herrin

21st out of 436 (Best 6%)

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Tim Herrin

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matchup for P. Crow-Armstrong

528th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Extreme advantage for Herrin
9

Model Prediction

Pete Crow-Armstrong has a 23.9% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 4.0% lower than Crow-Armstrong's typical expectations, and 6.9% lower than batters facing Herrin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.9%18.8%1.9%4.5%12.5%5.1%32.8%
Crow-Armstrong-4.0-4.1-1.1-1.4-1.6+0.1+5.9
Herrin-6.9-1.1-0.3+0.2-1.0-5.8+5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Pete Crow-Armstrong is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Crow-Armstrong doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
31%
   Curve (L)
26%
   Sinker (L)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.6% +1.8% 5%         Walk -2.4% +1.9% 42%         In Play +0.7% -3.7% 39%         On Base -6.3% -3.4% 31%         Hit -4.0% -5.3% 14%         Single -2.3% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -2.1% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -1.0%

History

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