Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Pete Crow-Armstrong

matchup for Logan Webb

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Logan Webb

matchup for P. Crow-Armstrong

245th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Webb

Pete Crow-Armstrong has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.6% higher than Crow-Armstrong's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	25.6%	2.2%	6.1%	17.3%	3.9%	23.9%
Crow-Armstrong	+1.6	+2.7	-0.7	+0.1	+3.3	-1.1	-3.0
Webb	-2.7	+0.9	-0.2	+0.9	+0.2	-3.5	+1.9

Pete Crow-Armstrong is much better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Crow-Armstrong has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Logan Webb throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

-3%

-2%

-3%

-5%

-1%

+7%

+4%

+6%

-2%

+2%

+0%

+1%

+0%

-2%

-1%

16.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.6% -0.8% 5%

Walk -2.4% -2.4% 42%

In Play +0.7% +3.2% 39%

On Base -6.3% +1.6% 31%

Hit -4.0% +4.0% 14%

Single -2.3% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.1% -1.3%

31.6% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.9% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.8% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.1% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.5% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.1% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.8% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +2.6% -1.4%

18.9% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.0% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.8% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.4% +3.6%

11.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.5% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -2.2% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.1% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +3.4% -5.1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.18	0.00	0.01	0.17			0.059

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-18	Groundout			10%	90%
2024-06-18	Groundout			5%	95%
2024-06-18	Groundout			2%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe