Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Pete Crow-Armstrong

matchup for Zach Eflin

222nd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Zach Eflin

matchup for P. Crow-Armstrong

157th out of 564 (Best 29%)

Leans in favor of Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 0.0% higher than Crow-Armstrong's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Eflin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	24.1%	3.9%	6.3%	13.9%	3.3%	21.4%
Crow-Armstrong	0.0	+1.7	+0.8	+0.8	+0.2	-1.8	-6.1
Eflin	-2.0	+1.0	+0.8	+0.7	-0.5	-3.0	+1.8

Pete Crow-Armstrong is much better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Crow-Armstrong has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

33%

Curve (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Just Gravity 31%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Zach Eflin throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

-2%

-3%

+0%

+7%

+2%

-2%

-3%

-1%

+0%

+2%

+1%

+0%

+1%

16.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.6% 0.0% 5%

Walk -2.4% -4.0% 42%

In Play +0.7% +4.0% 39%

On Base -6.3% -3.7% 31%

Hit -4.0% +0.2% 14%

Single -2.3% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +0.0% 3%

Home Run +0.1% +0.1%

31.6% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.9% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.8% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.1% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.5% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.1% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.8% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +0.4%

18.9% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.0% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.8% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.4% +1.4%

11.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.5% +1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -2.2% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.1% -0.3% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.4% -0.8%

Pete Crow-Armstrong has 2 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.59	0.00	0.01	0.58			0.296

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-11	Single			4%	96%
2024-06-11	Single			54%	45%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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