Pete Crow-Armstrong has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 2.5% higher than Crow-Armstrong's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Fedde.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.9% | 24.1% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 21.2% |
Crow-Armstrong | +2.5 | +1.7 | -0.3 | +0.7 | +1.4 | +0.8 | -6.3 |
Fedde | -2.2 | +1.2 | +0.2 | +0.9 | +0.1 | -3.5 | +2.0 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong is much better vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Crow-Armstrong has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
11% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
30% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Erick Fedde throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed against pitches thrown in each area.
16.2% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
31.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
19.0% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. 28.1% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
11.7% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at this angle, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has 2 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.61 | 0.95 | 0.02 | 0.65 | 0.807 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-02 | Flyout | 95% | 1% | 4% | |
2024-08-02 | Single | 65% | 35% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.