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Pete Crow-Armstrong

matchup for Miles Mikolas

341st out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for P. Crow-Armstrong

24th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Strong advantage for Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 4.4% higher than Crow-Armstrong's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	29.7%	3.9%	7.4%	18.4%	2.6%	20.1%
Crow-Armstrong	+4.4	+6.8	+1.0	+1.4	+4.4	-2.4	-6.8
Mikolas	+0.1	+1.6	+0.7	+0.8	+0.2	-1.5	-0.5

Pete Crow-Armstrong is much better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Crow-Armstrong doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Pete Crow-Armstrong has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Pete Crow-Armstrong has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Miles Mikolas throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

+0%

+2%

+0%

-1%

-2%

-1%

+1%

+2%

+4%

+1%

-2%

-1%

-2%

-3%

16.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.6% -3.3% 5%

Walk -2.4% -3.9% 42%

In Play +0.7% +7.2% 39%

On Base -6.3% -0.6% 31%

Hit -4.0% +3.3% 14%

Single -2.3% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +0.1% +0.0%

31.6% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.9% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.8% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.1% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -5.0% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -2.5% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.1% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.8% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +2.6% -0.2%

18.9% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.0% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.8% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.4% +1.1%

11.5% of Pete Crow-Armstrong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.5% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.9% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -2.2% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.1% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +3.4% -2.1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong has 4 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 4 with 2 home runs and a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.750
Expected From Contact →			2.62	1.55	0.99	0.08			0.654

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-04	Double		88%	7%	5%
2024-08-04	Pop Out				100%
2024-07-14	Home Run	61%	9%		30%
2024-07-14	Home Run	94%	3%		3%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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