Matchup Machine

Masyn Winn

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Masyn Winn

504th out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
5

Model Prediction

Masyn Winn has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.2% lower than Winn's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%21.5%2.2%5.2%14.1%6.0%29.0%
Winn-3.2-1.10.0+0.1-1.1-2.1+9.0
Crochet0.0+0.5-0.3+0.1+0.7-0.6-6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Masyn Winn is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Winn doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Masyn Winn has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Masyn Winn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.0% +9.4% 5%         Walk -2.0% -1.3% 36%         In Play +9.0% -8.1% 39%         On Base +3.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit +5.2% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

History

Masyn Winn has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.080.000.060.020.041
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-05Flyout5%2%94%
2024-05-05Flyout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.