Matchup Machine

Masyn Winn

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matchup for Taj Bradley

278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Masyn Winn

304th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of Winn
1

Model Prediction

Masyn Winn has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.6% higher than Winn's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%24.0%1.9%4.8%17.3%7.2%20.5%
Winn+0.6+1.5-0.2-0.3+2.0-0.9+0.6
Bradley+0.5+1.4-0.70.0+2.1-0.9-5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Masyn Winn is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Winn has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Masyn Winn has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Masyn Winn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.0% +3.2% 5%         Walk -2.0% +0.4% 36%         In Play +9.0% -3.5% 39%         On Base +3.2% -1.3% 31%         Hit +5.2% -1.6% 14%         Single +2.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +1.2%

History

Masyn Winn has 3 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011000.667
Expected From Contact →1.440.000.231.210.481
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-07Double23%70%8%
2024-08-07Pop Out1%98%
2024-08-07Single50%50%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.