Matchup Machine

Masyn Winn

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matchup for Logan Webb

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Masyn Winn

49th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Strong advantage for Winn
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Model Prediction

Masyn Winn has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 4.9% higher than Winn's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%28.2%1.8%5.7%20.7%7.2%16.3%
Winn+4.9+5.7-0.4+0.6+5.5-0.9-3.7
Webb+3.2+3.5-0.6+0.5+3.6-0.3-5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Masyn Winn is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Winn has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Masyn Winn has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Masyn Winn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.0% -0.8% 5%         Walk -2.0% -2.4% 36%         In Play +9.0% +3.2% 39%         On Base +3.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +5.2% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.6% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.3%

History

Masyn Winn has 4 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441010300.250
Expected From Contact →0.290.110.180.000.073
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-23Strikeout
2024-06-23Double11%18%71%
2024-06-23Strikeout
2024-06-23Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.