Matchup Machine

      Masyn Winn

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      matchup for Carson Fulmer

      246th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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      Carson Fulmer

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      matchup for Masyn Winn

      100th out of 564 (Best 19%)

      Strong advantage for Winn
      6

      Model Prediction

      Masyn Winn has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 1.9% higher than Winn's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Masyn Winn is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Winn has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Masyn Winn has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      37%
         Changeup (R)
      20%
         Cutter (R)
      15%
         Sinker (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      9%
         Slider (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.7% of Masyn Winn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.5% -2.6% 5%         Walk -2.0% +2.5% 36%         In Play +8.5% +0.0% 39%         On Base +2.9% +4.0% 31%         Hit +4.9% +1.4% 14%         Single +2.6% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

      History

      Masyn Winn has 1 plate appearance against Carson Fulmer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.200.000.000.190.195
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-14Groundout19%80%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.