Matchup Machine

Masyn Winn

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matchup for Austin Gomber

212th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Masyn Winn

84th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Winn
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Model Prediction

Masyn Winn has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.9% higher than Winn's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%26.2%2.4%6.6%17.2%5.3%13.4%
Winn+0.9+3.7+0.2+1.5+2.0-2.8-6.6
Gomber-0.2+0.3-0.9-0.1+1.3-0.6-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Masyn Winn is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Winn has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Masyn Winn has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Masyn Winn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.0% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.0% -2.5% 36%         In Play +9.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base +3.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit +5.2% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.6% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.3%

History

Masyn Winn has 6 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with 3 doubles and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual653030010.600
Expected From Contact →2.020.161.000.860.404
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Double2%72%26%
2024-09-25Flyout1%99%
2024-09-25Triple12%16%72%
2024-06-07Walk
2024-06-07Double4%82%12%2%
2024-06-07Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.