Matchup Machine

Tyler Soderstrom

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

316th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for T. Soderstrom

548th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Strong advantage for Skubal
6

Model Prediction

Tyler Soderstrom has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 6.3% lower than Soderstrom's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%21.3%2.7%3.5%15.0%5.7%31.3%
Soderstrom-6.3-1.8-0.9-1.1+0.2-4.5+6.4
Skubal+1.7+1.2+0.5-0.5+1.3+0.4+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Soderstrom hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Soderstrom doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Tyler Soderstrom hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.9% of Tyler Soderstrom's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +2.2% +6.3% 5%         Walk +0.5% -3.3% 45%         In Play -2.6% -3.0% 39%         On Base +0.1% -5.6% 31%         Hit -0.3% -2.3% 14%         Single -1.8% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +2.5% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years