Matchup Machine

Tyler Soderstrom

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matchup for Aaron Nola

354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for T. Soderstrom

352nd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Moderate advantage for Soderstrom
4

Model Prediction

Tyler Soderstrom has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.4% lower than Soderstrom's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%23.5%4.0%6.1%13.5%8.3%32.1%
Soderstrom-1.4+0.5+0.4+1.4-1.3-1.9+7.2
Nola+2.4+1.1+1.0-0.2+0.4+1.2+1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Soderstrom hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Soderstrom has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Tyler Soderstrom hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.9% of Tyler Soderstrom's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +2.2% +6.3% 5%         Walk +0.5% -2.8% 45%         In Play -2.6% -3.5% 39%         On Base +0.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit -0.3% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.8% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years