matchup for Will Warren
2
Colt Keith has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 2.0% higher than Keith's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Warren.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.2% | 21.5% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 27.7% |
| Keith | +2.0 | -0.3 | +0.1 | +1.2 | -1.6 | +2.3 | +2.1 |
| Warren | -1.4 | -0.4 | -0.5 | +1.1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | +1.5 |
Colt Keith is much better vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Keith has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
28%
Slider (R)
27%
Changeup (R)
10%
Cutter (R)
5%
9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
9%
+4%
Likely Ball
23%
+4%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Edge Painter
16%
-1%
Mid Challenge
8%
-3%
Meatball
2%
-4%
36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Drop
36%
+24%
Extreme Break
33%
+18%
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Fastball (R)
63%
+9%
13.2% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.3%
+3.1%
4%
Walk
+0.3%
+1.4%
39%
In Play
+2.0%
-4.5%
39%
On Base
+6.4%
-0.3%
31%
Hit
+6.0%
-1.7%
14%
Single
+3.1%
-1.9%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.1%
-1.5%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
+1.6%
37.0% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.4%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.5%
-0.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.7%
-1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.2%
-0.4%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
-0.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.7%
-2.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.2%
+2.2%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.3%
+7.6%
3%
Pop up
-0.3%
-2.8%
17.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.6% lower than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+3.7%
-9.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.9%
-6.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+2.5%
+6.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.3%
+6.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
-6.6%
+2.4%
11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.1%
+0.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.1%
+1.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.1%
-2.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.0%
-3.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.5%
+5.3%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.3%
-3.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.0%
+2.4%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-1.9%
No History in the last 3 years
