Matchup Machine

Colt Keith

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

104th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Colt Keith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Wantz
2

Model Prediction

Colt Keith has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.1% higher than Keith's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%18.9%2.5%4.5%12.0%11.1%26.4%
Keith-0.1-3.2+0.5-0.3-3.5+3.2+0.5
Wantz-1.7-1.4-0.8+0.1-0.6-0.4+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Colt Keith is much better vs right-handed pitching. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Keith has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Colt Keith has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.1% +7.5% 4%         Walk -0.2% +2.0% 39%         In Play +2.2% -9.5% 39%         On Base +5.5% -6.5% 31%         Hit +5.7% -8.5% 14%         Single +3.0% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years