Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Colt Keith

matchup for Ryan Weathers

64th out of 436 (Best 15%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Colt Keith

472nd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Strong advantage for Weathers

Colt Keith has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.8% lower than Keith's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	20.2%	1.2%	4.9%	14.1%	7.1%	28.4%
Keith	-2.8	-1.9	-0.7	+0.1	-1.3	-0.9	+2.6
Weathers	-2.6	-1.3	-0.9	-0.7	+0.2	-1.3	+3.7

Colt Keith is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Keith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

13.4% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.1% -2.1% 4%

Walk -0.2% -0.6% 39%

In Play +2.2% +2.7% 39%

On Base +5.5% +0.9% 31%

Hit +5.7% +1.5% 14%

Single +3.0% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

36.9% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.4% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.3% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.3% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +1.2%

17.4% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.8% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.9% +1.1%

11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%