Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Colt Keith

matchup for Logan Allen

23rd out of 436 (Best 6%)

Logan Allen

matchup for Colt Keith

158th out of 567 (Best 29%)

Leans in favor of Keith

Colt Keith has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 1.3% higher than Keith's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	24.8%	2.2%	4.6%	18.0%	6.6%	18.5%
Keith	+1.3	+2.6	+0.2	-0.2	+2.5	-1.4	-7.3
Allen	-3.6	-1.2	-0.7	-1.2	+0.7	-2.4	+1.0

Colt Keith is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Keith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

14%

Curve (L)

Cutter (L)

21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

13.4% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.1% -2.6% 4%

Walk -0.2% +1.3% 39%

In Play +2.2% +1.3% 39%

On Base +5.5% +6.7% 31%

Hit +5.7% +5.4% 14%

Single +3.0% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% +3.1% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

36.9% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.4% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +2.3% -2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.3% +0.0% 3%

Pop up -0.3% -0.7%

17.4% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.8% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.9% +2.7%

11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° 0.0% -0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.2% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +2.4% +0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.0% +6.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.8% -2.7% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -0.9% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° +0.2% -1.4%

Colt Keith has 1 plate appearance against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.003

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-17	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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