Matchup Machine

Colt Keith

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matchup for David Peterson

68th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for Colt Keith

287th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Peterson
2

Model Prediction

Colt Keith has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 0.8% higher than Keith's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%22.3%1.4%4.8%16.2%8.7%24.7%
Keith+0.8+0.2-0.50.0+0.7+0.7-1.2
Peterson-1.9-0.6-0.8-0.2+0.5-1.3+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Colt Keith is much worse vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Keith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.1% +0.1% 4%         Walk -0.2% +1.3% 39%         In Play +2.2% -1.3% 39%         On Base +5.5% +2.1% 31%         Hit +5.7% +0.8% 14%         Single +3.0% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -1.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years