matchup for Zach Eflin
matchup for Colt Keith
5
Colt Keith has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 0.8% higher than Keith's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Eflin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.0% | 25.3% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 5.7% | 17.4% |
| Keith | +0.8 | +3.4 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +1.4 | -2.6 | -8.2 |
| Eflin | +1.5 | +2.1 | -0.1 | +0.8 | +1.4 | -0.6 | -2.2 |
Colt Keith is much better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Keith has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
33%
Curve (R)
19%
Cutter (R)
16%
Slider (R)
13%
4-Seam (R)
10%
Changeup (R)
6%
12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
12%
+4%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Meatball
6%
0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
35%
+20%
Just Gravity
31%
+17%
Extreme Slow Velo
17%
+12%
13.2% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.3%
+0.0%
4%
Walk
+0.3%
-4.0%
39%
In Play
+2.0%
+3.9%
39%
On Base
+6.4%
-3.8%
31%
Hit
+6.0%
+0.2%
14%
Single
+3.1%
+0.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.1%
+0.0%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
+0.1%
37.0% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.4%
+0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.5%
+1.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.7%
+0.1%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.2%
-0.5%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
-1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.7%
-0.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.2%
-1.1%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
+0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.3%
0.0%
3%
Pop up
-0.3%
+0.5%
17.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.6% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+3.7%
+1.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.9%
-1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+2.5%
+1.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.3%
-3.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
-6.6%
+1.2%
11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.1%
+1.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.1%
+0.7%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.1%
+0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.0%
-1.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.5%
-1.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.3%
-0.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.0%
+2.0%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-0.5%
Colt Keith has 3 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.18 | 0.064 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-13 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-09-13 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2024-09-13 | Groundout | 18% | 82% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
