Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Colt Keith

matchup for John Means

19th out of 436 (Best 5%)

John Means

matchup for Colt Keith

353rd out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Moderate advantage for Means

Colt Keith has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 2.5% lower than Keith's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Means.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.6%	21.0%	2.2%	5.1%	13.7%	6.6%	23.8%
Keith	-2.5	-1.2	+0.3	+0.3	-1.8	-1.4	-2.0
Means	-3.3	-3.0	-1.1	-1.5	-0.4	-0.3	+2.9

Colt Keith is much worse vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Keith has a D grade vs this particular release point.

John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

28%

Slider (L)

12%

Curve (L)

11%

9% of John Means's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 3%

-6%

31% of John Means's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Ride 31%

+27%

Medium Break 40%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 28%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

13.4% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.1% -0.2% 4%

Walk -0.2% -2.7% 39%

In Play +2.2% +2.9% 39%

On Base +5.5% -4.8% 31%

Hit +5.7% -2.0% 14%

Single +3.0% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% -1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +0.5%

36.9% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. John Means induces Standard Grounders at a 23.3% rate, which is 11.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.4% -11.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.3% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.3% +5.9% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +4.8%

17.4% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% -0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.8% -3.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.9% +2.4%

11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%