Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Colt Keith

matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

46th out of 436 (Best 11%)

Yusei Kikuchi

matchup for Colt Keith

542nd out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Extreme advantage for Kikuchi

Colt Keith has a 23.7% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 6.5% lower than Keith's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	23.7%	18.2%	1.9%	3.5%	12.9%	5.4%	35.6%
Keith	-6.5	-3.9	-0.1	-1.3	-2.5	-2.6	+9.7
Kikuchi	-2.9	-2.3	-0.8	-1.3	-0.2	-0.6	+6.0

Colt Keith is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Keith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

11%

Curve (L)

11%

Cutter (L)

7% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

28% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 28%

+18%

Minimal Break 18%

+8%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

13.4% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.1% +4.3% 4%

Walk -0.2% -1.4% 39%

In Play +2.2% -2.8% 39%

On Base +5.5% -0.9% 31%

Hit +5.7% +0.5% 14%

Single +3.0% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% +0.3% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +0.2%

36.9% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi induces Standard Grounders at a 36.0% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.4% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.3% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.9% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.3% +0.4% 3%

Pop up -0.3% -0.4%

17.4% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.8% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.9% +3.7%

11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 12.7% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%