matchup for Martin Perez
matchup for Colt Keith
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Colt Keith has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 0.1% higher than Keith's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Perez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.3% | 22.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 22.7% |
| Keith | +0.1 | +0.4 | +0.3 | -0.3 | +0.4 | -0.2 | -2.9 |
| Perez | -3.5 | -1.9 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -1.7 | +1.5 |
Colt Keith is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Keith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Colt Keith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (L)
34%
Changeup (L)
25%
Cutter (L)
25%
4-Seam (L)
8%
Curve (L)
7%
22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
22%
+2%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Fringe Miss
15%
+2%
Weak Challenge
9%
+0%
Meatball
6%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Colt Keith has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Low Ride
62%
+38%
Extreme Break
34%
+19%
Offspeed (L)
25%
+13%
Fastball (L)
67%
+12%
Medium Velo
24%
+9%
13.2% of Colt Keith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 12.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.3%
-5.7%
4%
Walk
+0.3%
-0.2%
39%
In Play
+2.0%
+5.9%
39%
On Base
+6.4%
+5.6%
31%
Hit
+6.0%
+5.8%
14%
Single
+3.1%
+3.3%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.1%
+3.1%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
-0.6%
37.0% of Colt Keith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 39.6% rate, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.4%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.5%
+5.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.7%
+0.1%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.2%
+0.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
+0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.7%
-0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.2%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.3%
-3.3%
3%
Pop up
-0.3%
-1.0%
17.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.6% lower than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+3.7%
+0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.9%
+2.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+2.5%
-0.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.3%
-2.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
-6.6%
+0.0%
11.7% of Colt Keith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.1%
+3.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.1%
+0.6%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.1%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.0%
+0.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.5%
-1.6%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.3%
-1.1%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.0%
-0.2%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-2.4%
Colt Keith has 5 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.01 | 0.211 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-05 | Single | 73% | 27% | ||
| 2024-09-05 | Flyout | 2% | 97% | ||
| 2024-04-09 | Groundout | 2% | 3% | 95% | |
| 2024-04-09 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2024-04-09 | Groundout | 24% | 75% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
